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Data Analysis

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Circle Minted $5B in USDC in a Week — Does That Mean Buying Pressure Is Coming? The Correlation Data Says It's Not That Simple

Billions in stablecoins get minted in a week, yet the short-term correlation with Bitcoin's price often stays below 0.3 — mint volume alone can't answer "what is this money preparing to do"; only cross-checking derivatives data reveals the real picture.
Whenever Circle or Tether mints billions of dollars' worth of stablecoins in a single week, the crypto community almost immediately jumps to "buying pressure is coming, we're about to pump" — in late August 2026, Circle minting roughly $5 billion in USDC over one week sparked exactly this kind of discussion. The reasoning sounds plausible on the surface: minting a stablecoin requires real...
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"Billions in stablecoins get minted in a week, yet the short-term correlation with Bitcoin's price often stays below 0.3 — mint volume alone can't answer "what is this money preparing to do"; only cross-checking derivatives data reveals the real picture."
— Onchain Bible
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